Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Targu Mures (Romania), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Kathinka Von Deichmann		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.58	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.36)	2.46 ↓ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kathinka Von Deichmann
62.1%

Elvina Kalieva
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kathinka Von Deichmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kathinka Von Deichmann's form might have worsened.

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvina Kalieva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kathinka Von Deichmann than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kathinka Von Deichmann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvina Kalieva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Von Deichmann is ranked WTA: 161. Kalieva is ranked WTA: 267.

Von Deichmann is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kalieva is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kalieva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Von Deichmann is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Von Deichmann won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kathinka Von Deichmann
ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Matilde Jorge - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Chloe Paquet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Linda Fruhvirtova - Kathinka Von Deichmann	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.01.25	Tatiana Prozorova - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Fangran Tian - Kathinka Von Deichmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL?LW
- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
25.02.25	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Elvina Kalieva - Anna-Lena Friedsam	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Elvina Kalieva - Radka Zelnickova	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Sinja Kraus - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Elvina Kalieva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.05.24	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Elvina Kalieva	2:0

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