Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Katie Volynets		Nikola Bartunkova

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.82	1.96	Watch
	2.67	1.45	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.87	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2)	1.87 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katie Volynets
48.4%

Nikola Bartunkova
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katie Volynets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nikola Bartunkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Volynets than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katie Volynets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikola Bartunkova than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikola Bartunkova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Katie Volynets - Nikola Bartunkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Volynets will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Bartunkova will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bartunkova: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Volynets (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bartunkova (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Volynets is ranked WTA: 96. Bartunkova is ranked WTA: 105.

Volynets has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bartunkova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Volynets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katie Volynets
WTA Dubai
14.02.26	Kimberly Birrell - Katie Volynets	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Katie Volynets - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
WTA Ostrava
06.02.26	Katie Volynets - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Katie Volynets - Alycia Parks	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Tatjana Maria - Katie Volynets	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW
- Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Austin
22.02.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Mariia Tkacheva	2:0 ✺
WTA Ostrava
05.02.26	Diane Parry - Nikola Bartunkova	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Fiona Ferro - Nikola Bartunkova	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Anna Blinkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

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