Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Vancouver, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Kayla Day		Mai Hontama

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.54	2.33
	1.58	2.44
	1.51	2.41	Watch
	1.56	2.4
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	2.36 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayla Day
60.5%

Mai Hontama
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mai Hontama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kayla Day that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mai Hontama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kayla Day - Mai Hontama Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Day (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kayla Day will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Day is ranked WTA: 126. Hontama is ranked WTA: 203.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Day may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mai Hontama - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.38%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayla Day
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.26	Kayla Day - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Erika Andreeva - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Cadence Brace - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Kayla Day - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL
- Mai Hontama
WTA Prague
23.07.26	Mai Hontama - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Diane Parry - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Valentina Ryser - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Barbora Palicova - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
WTA Athens
15.07.26	Mai Hontama - Alycia Parks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWL

Kayla Day - Mai Hontama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide