Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Charlottesville, VA (USA), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Kayla Day		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.68	2.13
	1.69	2.13
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.68	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.52)	2.09 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayla Day
55.5%

Varvara Lepchenko
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayla Day has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kayla Day's form might have worsened.

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Lepchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayla Day, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Kayla Day - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Day will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lepchenko will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Day is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lepchenko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Day could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Day will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayla Day
ITF Tournaments
25.04.24	Kayla Day - Sophie Chang	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Kayla Day - Sahaja Yamalapalli	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Kayla Day - Berfu Cengiz	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Kayla Day - Susan Bandecchi	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Kayla Day - Anna Gabric	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
ITF Tournaments
25.04.24	Liv Hovde - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Kristina Mladenovic	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Sinja Kraus	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Anouk Koevermans - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Sara Lanca - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW

Kayla Day - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide