Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rabat (Morocco), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday


	Kayla Day		Zhuoxuan Bai

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.12
	1.76	2.12
	1.67	2.2
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.72	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)	2.13 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayla Day
55.4%

Zhuoxuan Bai
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayla Day has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Zhuoxuan Bai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayla Day, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhuoxuan Bai than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zhuoxuan Bai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kayla Day - Zhuoxuan Bai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Day is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bai is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayla Day
ITF Tournaments
11.05.24	Kayla Day - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Kayla Day - Eugenie Bouchard	Bouchard E. retired ✺
09.05.24	Kayla Day - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Kayla Day - Robin Anderson	2:0 ✺
01.05.24	Kayla Day - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?WWL
- Zhuoxuan Bai
ITF Tournaments
14.05.24	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.24	Zhuoxuan Bai - Aleksandra Krunic	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.24	Zhuoxuan Bai - Caroline Dolehide	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Sara Bejlek - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:1 ✺
22.04.24	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Zhuoxuan Bai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW

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