Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Lexington, KY, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday


	Kayo Nishimura		Lexington Reed

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.74	1.98
	1.83	2.00
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.80	1.98
	1.75	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.58)	1.98 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayo Nishimura
52.9%

Lexington Reed
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayo Nishimura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kayo Nishimura's form might have worsened.

Lexington Reed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington Reed's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayo Nishimura than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayo Nishimura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington Reed than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington Reed, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kayo Nishimura - Lexington Reed Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishimura is ranked WTA: 487. Reed is ranked WTA: 1076.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Nishimura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayo Nishimura
ITF Tournaments
21.07.26	Kayo Nishimura - Isabella Marton	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Sara Saito - Kayo Nishimura	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Teah Chavez - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Sakura Hosogi - Kayo Nishimura	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Kayo Nishimura - Yu-Ning Tsai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW
- Lexington Reed
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Malaika Rapolu - Lexington Reed	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Lexington Reed - Hanna Chang	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Malaika Rapolu - Lexington Reed	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Jennifer Jackson - Lexington Reed	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Lexington Reed - Eunhye Lee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LLWWW

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