Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: WACO (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday


	Keegan Smith		Elmar Ejupovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.78
	1.96	1.78
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.97	1.77	Watch
	1.91	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.03)	1.79 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
48.4%

Elmar Ejupovic
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Elmar Ejupovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keegan Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmar Ejupovic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elmar Ejupovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Keegan Smith - Elmar Ejupovic Predictions

Users Predictions: Elmar Ejupovic will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Ejupovic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
26.02.23	Alastair Gray - Keegan Smith	Gray A. retired ✺
21.02.23	Patrick Kypson - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Keegan Smith - Donald Young	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Keegan Smith - Benjamin Sigouin	2:0 ✺
30.01.23	Keegan Smith - Kyle Seelig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?LWWL
- Elmar Ejupovic
ATP Challenger
26.02.23	Daniel Cukierman - Elmar Ejupovic	1:2 ✺
24.02.23	Zachary Svajda - Elmar Ejupovic	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Ryan Harrison - Elmar Ejupovic	1:2 ✺
20.02.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Tennys Sandgren	Sandgren T. retired ✺
ATP Dallas
06.02.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLW?L

Keegan Smith - Elmar Ejupovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide