Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Keisuke Saitoh		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.66	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.37)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh
33.7%

Petr Nesterov
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keisuke Saitoh's form might have worsened.

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keisuke Saitoh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Keisuke Saitoh - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nesterov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saitoh is ranked ATP: 821. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 523.

Saitoh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nesterov is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Saitoh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nesterov might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 60.61%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Tomas Luis - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Geun Jun Kim	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Dong Ju Kim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
28.12.25	Petr Nesterov - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Petr Nesterov - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
25.12.25	Petr Nesterov - Roman Postolka	2:0 ✺
23.12.25	Petr Nesterov - Christian Djonov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Keisuke Saitoh - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide