Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Gimcheon 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Keisuke Saitoh		Dong Ju Kim

	1	2
	2.47	1.5
	3.79	1.21	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.36	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.14)	1.44 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh
34.5%

Dong Ju Kim
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keisuke Saitoh's form might have worsened.

Dong Ju Kim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dong Ju Kim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keisuke Saitoh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dong Ju Kim than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dong Ju Kim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Keisuke Saitoh - Dong Ju Kim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saitoh is ranked ATP: 820. Kim is ranked ATP: 1044.

In recent matches, Saitoh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kim is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Saitoh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Kim will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Saitoh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Theodore Dean - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Yunseok Jang - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Ko Suzuki - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Koki Matsuda - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Moerani Bouzige - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- Dong Ju Kim
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Dong Ju Kim - Suk Hyun Choo	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Kuan-Yi Lee - Dong Ju Kim	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Dong Ju Kim - Toshiki Karigyo	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Dong Ju Kim - Yeonsu Jeong	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Dong Ju Kim - Harry Roberts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.06.23	Keisuke Saitoh - Dong Ju Kim	0:2

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