Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Yecla, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Kira Pavlova		Lucia Cortez Llorca

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.53	2.33	Watch
	1.31	3.07	Watch
	1.54	2.40
	1.50	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.34)	2.51 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kira Pavlova
63.1%

Lucia Cortez Llorca
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kira Pavlova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kira Pavlova's form might have worsened.

Lucia Cortez Llorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucia Cortez Llorca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kira Pavlova than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Kira Pavlova - Lucia Cortez Llorca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pavlova is ranked WTA: 347., and Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 389..

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Pavlova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Pavlova is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Pavlova has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kira Pavlova
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Kira Pavlova	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Charo Esquiva Banuls - Kira Pavlova	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Kira Pavlova - Britt Du Pree	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Francisca Jorge - Kira Pavlova	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Kira Pavlova - Eva Alvarez Sande	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWW
- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Alicia Herrero Linana - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Marianne Argyrokastriti	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Daria Yesypchuk	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Caijsa Wilda Hennemann - Lucia Cortez Llorca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Kira Pavlova	0:2

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