Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Reus, clay - Final

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Lucia Cortez Llorca		Ariana Geerlings Martinez

	1	2
			Watch
	4.00	1.19
	4.20	1.18
	4.20	1.23
	4.11	1.19	Watch
	4.15	1.22
	4.03	1.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (2.14)	1.2 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Cortez Llorca
22.6%

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Cortez Llorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucia Cortez Llorca's form might have worsened.

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ariana Geerlings Martinez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (+24.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucia Cortez Llorca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ariana Geerlings Martinez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ariana Geerlings Martinez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 468. Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 589.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Cortez Llorca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Geerlings Martinez is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cortez Llorca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Marianne Argyrokastriti	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Daria Yesypchuk	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Caijsa Wilda Hennemann - Lucia Cortez Llorca	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Victoria Gomez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Ksenia Zaytseva - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL
- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Francesca Pace	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Amandine Hesse - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Freya Peet - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Justina Mikulskyte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1
ATP Challenger
08.06.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	1:2
ITF Tournaments
02.12.22	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1

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