Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino (San Marino) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 29 July 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Marino (San Marino) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Benvenuto A. (Ita)


	Kirill Kivattsev		Marcello Serafini

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Kirill Kivattsev
45.5%

Marcello Serafini
54.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kirill Kivattsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Marcello Serafini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kirill Kivattsev than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kivattsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kirill Kivattsev
ATP Challenger
28.07.24	Lucio Carnevalle - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Alexander Weis - Kirill Kivattsev	Canceled ✺
21.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.24	Kirill Kivattsev - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Renzo Olivo - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 W?LLW
- Marcello Serafini
ATP Challenger
28.07.24	Niccolo Catini - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Petr Nesterov - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Marcello Serafini - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
04.07.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Marcello Serafini - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLW

Kirill Kivattsev - Marcello Serafini