Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Kris van Wyk		Cyril Vandermeersch

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2.47	1.48
	2.37	1.56
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
	2.47	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.62)	1.57 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kris van Wyk
40.2%

Cyril Vandermeersch
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kris van Wyk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kris van Wyk's form might have worsened.

Cyril Vandermeersch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cyril Vandermeersch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kris van Wyk than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kris van Wyk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cyril Vandermeersch than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cyril Vandermeersch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Kris van Wyk - Cyril Vandermeersch Predictions

Users Predictions: Kris van Wyk will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

van Wyk is ranked ATP: 368. Vandermeersch is ranked ATP: 863.

van Wyk is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vandermeersch is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vandermeersch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kris van Wyk
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Lucas Poullain - Kris van Wyk	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Kris van Wyk - Aryan Shah	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Nitin Kumar Sinha - Kris van Wyk	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Egor Agafonov - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF Tournaments
07.03.25	Hamish Stewart - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Alexandre Aubriot - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Thomas Deschamps - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL

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