Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Kristina Mladenovic		Carolina Alves

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.44	2.6
	1.41	2.96
	1.45	2.77	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)	2.7 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristina Mladenovic
65.2%

Carolina Alves
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristina Mladenovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristina Mladenovic's performance.

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carolina Alves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristina Mladenovic than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristina Mladenovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carolina Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kristina Mladenovic - Carolina Alves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mladenovic is ranked WTA: 206. Alves is ranked WTA: 315.

Two players are in a poor body shape now.

Mladenovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mladenovic will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristina Mladenovic
ATP Challenger
20.11.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
18.11.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Selena Janicijevic - Kristina Mladenovic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.10.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Carolina Alves
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Georgia Andreea Craciun - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Chloe Paquet - Carolina Alves	Canceled ✺
04.11.24	Carolina Alves - Martina Okalova	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Carolina Alves - Noelia Zeballos	Zeballos N. retired ✺
29.10.24	Laura Pigossi - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?L?L

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