Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Southaven, MS, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Kristina Penickova		Antonia Vergara Rivera

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	3.70
	1.24	3.60
	1.24	4.18
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.22	4.10
	1.21	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.51)	3.85 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristina Penickova
75.8%

Antonia Vergara Rivera
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristina Penickova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristina Penickova's performance.

Antonia Vergara Rivera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antonia Vergara Rivera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristina Penickova than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristina Penickova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antonia Vergara Rivera than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antonia Vergara Rivera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kristina Penickova - Antonia Vergara Rivera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Penickova is ranked WTA: 770. Vergara Rivera is ranked WTA: 346.

Penickova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Vergara Rivera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Penickova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Penickova is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristina Penickova
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Jo-Yee Chan - Kristina Penickova	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Liv Hovde - Kristina Penickova	Hovde L. Retired ✺
22.07.26	Kristina Penickova - Anastasia Kulikova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.07.26	Kristina Penickova - Aliona Falei	1:2 ✺
13.07.26	Kristina Penickova - Karman Kaur Thandi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?LLW
- Antonia Vergara Rivera
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Mayu Crossley	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Trinetra Vijayakumar	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Krisha Mahendran	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Taylor Gruber	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Fiorella Britez Risso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

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