Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 CALABASAS, CA (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2023, Thursday


	Kyle Kang		Luke Saville

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.5	2.43
	1.51	2.46
	1.53	2.38
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.49	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.05)	2.39 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyle Kang
61.3%

Luke Saville
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyle Kang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kyle Kang's performance.

Luke Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luke Saville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyle Kang than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kyle Kang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luke Saville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Kang is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Saville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Saville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kang will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyle Kang
ITF Tournaments
19.03.23	Kyle Kang - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Kyle Kang	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Kyle Kang - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Kyle Kang - Sekou Bangoura	2:0 ✺
15.03.23	Adam Walton - Kyle Kang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWWWW
- Luke Saville
ATP Challenger
13.03.23	Luke Saville - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.23	Thomas John Fancutt - Luke Saville	2:1 ✺
03.03.23	Luke Saville - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Luke Saville - Ajeet Rai	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Luke Saville - Derek Pham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

Kyle Kang - Luke Saville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide