Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Barueri, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Lan Mi		Carolina Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.42
	2.70	1.41
	2.71	1.47
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.80	1.42
	2.56	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lan Mi
35%

Carolina Alves
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lan Mi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lan Mi than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Lan Mi - Carolina Alves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mi is ranked WTA: 465. Alves is ranked WTA: 313.

Mi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alves is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alves might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Alves will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Carolina Alves - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.69%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lan Mi
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Lan Mi - Isabella Barrera Aguirre	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Lan Mi - Alisa Danilova	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Victoria Luiza Barros - Lan Mi	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Catarina Melleiro Ibiraba Melleiro Junior - Lan Mi	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Lan Mi - Luiza Fullana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLWL
- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Victoria Bosio - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Carolina Alves - Georgia Pedone	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Fernanda Labrana - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

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