Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Campos do Jordao, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Lan Mi		Marjorie Souza

	1	2
	1.48	2.40
	1.45	2.55
	1.41	2.95
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.39	2.90
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)	2.67 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lan Mi
65.2%

Marjorie Souza
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lan Mi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Marjorie Souza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lan Mi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lan Mi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marjorie Souza than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marjorie Souza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Mi is ranked WTA: 481. Souza is ranked WTA: 829.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Souza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mi is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lan Mi
ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Lan Mi - Lourdes Ayala	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Lan Mi - Laura Badia	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Lan Mi - Bianca Bernardes	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Lan Mi - Jo-Yee Chan	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Lan Mi - Isabella Kruger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWWLL
- Marjorie Souza
ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Marjorie Souza - Victoria Luiza Barros	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Marjorie Souza - Maria Fernanda Lopes	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Marjorie Souza - Juliana Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva - Marjorie Souza	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Marjorie Souza - Georgia Pedone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL

Lan Mi - Marjorie Souza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide