Match Info

Date: 31 May 2021, Monday


	Lara Arruabarrena		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.71	2.14	Watch
	1.64	2.17
	1.68	2.29
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)	2.16 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lara Arruabarrena
56.1%

Varvara Gracheva
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lara Arruabarrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lara Arruabarrena than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lara Arruabarrena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Gracheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	0%	14%

Lara Arruabarrena - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: Lara Arruabarrena will win (43 of 50 users predict this - 86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.38% – 95.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arruabarrena is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gracheva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arruabarrena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lara Arruabarrena
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.21	Lara Arruabarrena - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
26.05.21	Antonia Lottner - Lara Arruabarrena	1:2 ✺
25.05.21	Usue Maitane Arconada - Lara Arruabarrena	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.05.21	Irina Khromacheva - Lara Arruabarrena	2:1 ✺
11.05.21	Lara Arruabarrena - Kaja Juvan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Strasbourg
23.05.21	Varvara Gracheva - Clara Burel	0:2 ✺
22.05.21	Varvara Gracheva - Yuliya Hatouka	Hatouka Y. walkover ✺
WTA Parma
18.05.21	Varvara Gracheva - Petra Martic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.21	Jasmine Paolini - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
07.05.21	Varvara Gracheva - Rebecca Peterson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 L?LLW

Lara Arruabarrena - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide