Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rende - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Laura Hietaranta		Anastasia Abbagnato

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.63	2.20	Watch
	1.49	2.51	Watch
	1.29	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.3)	2.74 ↓ (3.46)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Hietaranta
65.4%

Anastasia Abbagnato
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Hietaranta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laura Hietaranta's form might have worsened.

Anastasia Abbagnato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anastasia Abbagnato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Hietaranta than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laura Hietaranta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Abbagnato than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anastasia Abbagnato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Laura Hietaranta - Anastasia Abbagnato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hietaranta is ranked WTA: 316. Abbagnato is ranked WTA: 453.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Abbagnato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hietaranta is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hietaranta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Hietaranta
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Laura Hietaranta - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Laura Hietaranta - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Laura Hietaranta - Martha Matoula	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Lina Gjorcheska - Laura Hietaranta	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Laura Hietaranta - Julia Avdeeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW
- Anastasia Abbagnato
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Despina Papamichail	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Mayuka Aikawa - Anastasia Abbagnato	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Sara Dols	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Nanari Katsumi	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Madison Brengle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Laura Hietaranta - Anastasia Abbagnato	2:0
02.04.24	Laura Hietaranta - Anastasia Abbagnato	2:1

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