Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Laura Hietaranta		Jia-Jing Lu

	1	2
	2.2	1.6
	2.27	1.61
	2.28	1.57	Watch
	2.22	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.68)	1.6 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Hietaranta
41.6%

Jia-Jing Lu
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Hietaranta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laura Hietaranta's form might have worsened.

Jia-Jing Lu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jia-Jing Lu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Hietaranta than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laura Hietaranta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jia-Jing Lu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Laura Hietaranta - Jia Jing Lu Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Hietaranta will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Lu will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lu (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Hietaranta is ranked WTA: 407. Lu is ranked WTA: 340.

Recent performances by Hietaranta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jia-Jing Lu - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.56%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Hietaranta
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Laura Hietaranta	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Laura Hietaranta - Aysegul Mert	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Laura Hietaranta - Julia Adams	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Laura Hietaranta - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Laura Hietaranta - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW
- Jia-Jing Lu
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Vaidehi Chaudhari - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Menuha Popovici - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Rina Saigo - Jia-Jing Lu	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Arabella Koller - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Monika Stankiewicz - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Laura Hietaranta - Jia-Jing Lu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide