Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Manacor 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Laura Mair		Asylzhan Arystanbekova

	1	2
	1.55	2.48
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.31)	2.4 ↓ (3.04)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Mair
61.2%

Asylzhan Arystanbekova
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Mair has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laura Mair's form might have worsened.

Asylzhan Arystanbekova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Asylzhan Arystanbekova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Mair than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laura Mair, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asylzhan Arystanbekova than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asylzhan Arystanbekova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Laura Mair - Asylzhan Arystanbekova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mair is ranked WTA: 558. Arystanbekova is ranked WTA: 1138.

Recent performances by Mair have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arystanbekova is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mair may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mair is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Mair
ITF Tournaments
17.02.26	Laura Mair - Maria Garcia Cid	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Laura Mair - Tian Jialin	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Laura Mair - Lorena Solar Donoso	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Elizara Yaneva - Laura Mair	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Laura Mair - Celine Naef	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLWLW
- Asylzhan Arystanbekova
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Federica Sacco - Asylzhan Arystanbekova	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Asylzhan Arystanbekova - Sara Victoria Balan	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Diae El Jardi - Asylzhan Arystanbekova	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Asylzhan Arystanbekova - Anna Snigireva	2:0 ✺
25.12.25	Meshkatolzahra Safi - Asylzhan Arystanbekova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWWW

Laura Mair - Asylzhan Arystanbekova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide