Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday


	Laura Samsonova		Anastasiya Soboleva

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.91
	1.86	1.90
	1.96	1.95
	1.87	1.89	Watch
	1.94	1.84
	1.90	1.90	Watch
	1.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.59)	1.89 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Samsonova
50.1%

Anastasiya Soboleva
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laura Samsonova's form might have worsened.

Anastasiya Soboleva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anastasiya Soboleva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laura Samsonova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasiya Soboleva than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anastasiya Soboleva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Laura Samsonova - Anastasiya Soboleva Predictions

Users Predictions: Laura Samsonova will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 153. Soboleva is ranked WTA: 196.

Samsonova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Soboleva is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Soboleva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Samsonova could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Alesia Breaz	2:0 ✺
WTA Prague
21.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Maya Joint	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Gina Feistel - Laura Samsonova	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Laura Pigossi - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Katie Volynets - Laura Samsonova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL
- Anastasiya Soboleva
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Selena Janicijevic - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Anna Siskova - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Cagla Buyukakcay - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Gina Marie Dittmann - Anastasiya Soboleva	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Ekaterine Gorgodze	Sobolieva A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWW?

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