Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Laurent Lokoli		Gastao Elias

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Laurent Lokoli
44.9%

Gastao Elias
55.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Elias (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elias (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lokoli is ranked ATP: 394. Elias is ranked ATP: 318.

Recent performances by Lokoli have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elias is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lokoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Elias will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laurent Lokoli
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Filippo Moroni - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Marc Polmans - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Joao Domingues - Laurent Lokoli	Canceled ✺
06.07.25	Antoine Escoffier - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWW?L
- Gastao Elias
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Gastao Elias - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Gastao Elias - Ignasi Forcano	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Gastao Elias - Tiago Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Gastao Elias - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW

Laurent Lokoli - Gastao Elias