Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 September 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Leguevaques R. (Fra)


	Laurent Lokoli		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.21	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)	2.18 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laurent Lokoli
57.1%

Michael Geerts
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laurent Lokoli's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Laurent Lokoli - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: Laurent Lokoli will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lokoli is ranked ATP: 432. Geerts is ranked ATP: 319.

Lokoli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Geerts is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Geerts could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lokoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
06.09.24	Laurent Lokoli - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Marco Trungelliti - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
03.09.24	Manuel Guinard - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Laurent Lokoli - Enzo Wallart	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Laurent Lokoli - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
04.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Michael Geerts - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Michael Geerts - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Michael Geerts - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.08.24	Michael Geerts - Laurent Lokoli	0:2
23.07.24	Michael Geerts - Laurent Lokoli	2:0
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
05.08.20	Laurent Lokoli - Michael Geerts	2:1

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