Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Redding, CA (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Lea Ma		Himeno Sakatsume

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	2.15	1.6
	2.21	1.64
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.16	1.63	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
42.5%

Himeno Sakatsume
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Himeno Sakatsume has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Lea Ma - Himeno Sakatsume Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 494. Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 314.

Recent matches Ma is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sakatsume is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sakatsume could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sakatsume will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Sakatsume to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Kaylah McPhee - Lea Ma	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Berta Passola - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Lea Ma - Whitney Osuigwe	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Lea Ma - Sophie Chang	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Ena Koike - Lea Ma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW
- Himeno Sakatsume
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Mia Kupres - Himeno Sakatsume	1:2 ✺
02.10.24	Eszter Meri - Himeno Sakatsume	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Cadence Brace - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
26.09.24	Himeno Sakatsume - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Himeno Sakatsume - Paris Corley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW

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