Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Lea Ma		Jamie Loeb

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.68	2.07
	1.67	2.22
	1.57	2.28	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	2.13 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
56.2%

Jamie Loeb
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lea Ma's performance.

Jamie Loeb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jamie Loeb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lea Ma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jamie Loeb than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jamie Loeb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lea Ma - Jamie Loeb Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Loeb will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 327. Loeb is ranked WTA: 557.

Ma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Loeb has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Lea Ma - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
05.02.26	Lea Ma - Katrina Scott	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Jessica Pieri - Lea Ma	Pieri J. retired ✺
28.01.26	Arianne Hartono - Lea Ma	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Ena Koike - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 L?LLW
- Jamie Loeb
ITF Tournaments
23.01.26	Samira De Stefano - Jamie Loeb	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Milana Zhabrailova - Jamie Loeb	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Jamie Loeb - Francoise Abanda	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Carolyn Ansari - Jamie Loeb	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Olympe Lancelot - Jamie Loeb	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

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