Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Faro, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Lea Nilsson		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
			Watch
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	1.69	2.04	Watch
	1.76	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.66)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Nilsson
52.4%

Haruka Kaji
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Nilsson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Nilsson than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Lea Nilsson - Haruka Kaji Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nilsson is ranked WTA: 950. Kaji is ranked WTA: 252.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Nilsson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Nilsson
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Lea Nilsson - Andre Lukosiute	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Lea Nilsson - Victoria Pohle	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Michika Ozeki - Lea Nilsson	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Lea Nilsson - Sandra Samir	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Lea Nilsson - Londyn McCord	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW
- Haruka Kaji
WTA Hong Kong
25.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Kristiana Sidorova	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Kallista Liu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Yufei Ren	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Carol Young Suh Lee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

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