Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lakewood, CA 2 (USA), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Learner Tien		Keegan Smith

	1	2
	1.17	4.2
	1.19	4
	1.2	4.1	Watch
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.22	3.96	Watch
	1.19	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.46)	4.1 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
77.4%

Keegan Smith
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Learner Tien's performance.

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keegan Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Learner Tien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keegan Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Learner Tien - Keegan Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Smith is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tien is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tien won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ITF Tournaments
12.07.24	Learner Tien - Rudy Quan	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Learner Tien - Alexander Petrov	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Learner Tien - William Kleege	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Ryan Seggerman - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW
- Keegan Smith
ITF Tournaments
12.07.24	Keegan Smith - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Keegan Smith - Miles Jones	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Keegan Smith - Nikita Filin	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Keegan Smith - Noah Zamora	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.07.23	Learner Tien - Keegan Smith	2:1

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