Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W60 BARRANQUILLA (COLOMBIA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday


	Lena Papadakis		Carolina Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.1	1.66
	2.1	1.65
	2.13	1.67
	2	1.73
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)	1.66 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lena Papadakis
44.3%

Carolina Alves
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lena Papadakis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lena Papadakis's form might have worsened.

Carolina Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carolina Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lena Papadakis than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lena Papadakis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carolina Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Lena Papadakis - Carolina Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Papadakis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Alves will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alves: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lena Papadakis
ITF Tournaments
02.11.22	Lena Papadakis - Lauren Proctor	2:1 ✺
27.10.22	Lena Papadakis - Maria Herazo Gonzalez	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	Lena Papadakis - Kelly Vargas Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
WTA Parma
24.09.22	Lena Papadakis - Irina Maria Bara	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.09.22	Paula Ormaechea - Lena Papadakis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLWLL
- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
02.11.22	Berta Bonardi - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
26.10.22	Panna Udvardy - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
WTA Guadalajara 2
16.10.22	Caroline Dolehide - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Ulrikke Eikeri - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
WTA Parma
24.09.22	Carolina Alves - Oksana Selekhmeteva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

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