Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ibague (Colombia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 June 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ibague (Colombia) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Leonardo Aboian		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.01	1.71
	2.35	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.01)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonardo Aboian
41.1%

Gonzalo Villanueva
58.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonardo Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonardo Aboian than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonardo Aboian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonzalo Villanueva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Leonardo Aboian - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Villanueva will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aboian is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villanueva is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villanueva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aboian won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonardo Aboian
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Facundo Mena - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Leonardo Aboian - Andrea Collarini	Aboian L. retired ✺
18.06.24	Ulises Blanch - Leonardo Aboian	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Leonardo Aboian - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Leonardo Aboian - Federico Gaston Gonzalez Benitez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 L?WWW
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Gonzalo Villanueva - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	0:2 ✺
12.06.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Blaise Bicknell - Gonzalo Villanueva	Canceled ✺
11.06.24	Harrison Adams - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.06.22	Gonzalo Villanueva - Leonardo Aboian	2:1

Leonardo Aboian - Gonzalo Villanueva