Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bologna, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bologna 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Leonardo Malgaroli		Pietro Romeo Scomparin

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Leonardo Malgaroli
41.4%

Pietro Romeo Scomparin
58.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonardo Malgaroli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pietro Romeo Scomparin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonardo Malgaroli than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietro Romeo Scomparin than the current prediction. (-2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Malgaroli is ranked ATP: 1244. Scomparin is ranked ATP: 1046.

Recent performances by Malgaroli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Scomparin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Malgaroli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Scomparin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Scomparin will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonardo Malgaroli
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Enrico Baldisserri	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Kasra Rahmani	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Alessandro Mondazzi	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - William Grant	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL
- Pietro Romeo Scomparin
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Alessandro Coccioli	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Leonardo Iemmi	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Kasra Rahmani - Pietro Romeo Scomparin	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Iannis Miletich	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Jacopo Antonelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Leonardo Malgaroli - Pietro Romeo Scomparin