Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 June 2025, Tuesday


	Leylah Annie Fernandez		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.67
			Watch
	2.23	1.71
			Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.7	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.78)	1.63 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leylah Annie Fernandez
41.5%

Jasmine Paolini
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leylah Annie Fernandez's performance.

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leylah Annie Fernandez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Fernandez will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Paolini will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez: 32% – 80.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Fernandez (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Games - Paolini (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leylah Annie Fernandez will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Fernandez (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Paolini (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fernandez is ranked WTA: 29. Paolini is ranked WTA: 4.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Fernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paolini will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fernandez won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Bad Homburg
22.06.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Nottingham
20.06.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Suzan Lamens	2:1 ✺
WTA London
09.06.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Berlin
18.06.25	Jasmine Paolini - Ons Jabeur	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.25	Jasmine Paolini - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Yue Yuan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
20.02.24	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
12.11.23	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Doha
11.02.23	Jasmine Paolini - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2
WTA Abu Dhabi
06.01.21	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jasmine Paolini	2:0

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jasmine Paolini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide