Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Leyre Romero Gormaz		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.62
	2.12	1.64	Watch
	2.23	1.7
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.17	1.68
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.12	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.99)	1.65 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyre Romero Gormaz
43.3%

Darja Semenistaja
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyre Romero Gormaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyre Romero Gormaz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Leyre Romero Gormaz - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Romero Gormaz is ranked WTA: 143. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 104.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Semenistaja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Leyre Romero Gormaz - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Polina Iatcenko - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Mayar Sherif	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Tyra Caterina Grant	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWW
- Darja Semenistaja
WTA Wimbledon
29.06.26	Antonia Ruzic - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Darja Semenistaja - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Darja Semenistaja - Nao Hibino	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Darja Semenistaja - Anna Siskova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Laura Samsonova - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL

Leyre Romero Gormaz - Darja Semenistaja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide