Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Bucharest 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Lia Karatancheva		Mia Ristic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.45
	2.6	1.41
	2.56	1.47
	2.57	1.46	Watch
	2.66	1.43	Watch
	2.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.63)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lia Karatancheva
36%

Mia Ristic
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mia Ristic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lia Karatancheva - Mia Ristic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 313. Ristic is ranked WTA: 270.

Recent performances by Karatancheva have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ristic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ristic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ristic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Ristic will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Karatancheva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
30.09.25	Lia Karatancheva - Sara Victoria Balan	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Lia Karatancheva - Tatiana Pieri	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Georgia Andreea Craciun - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Beatris Spasova - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Lisa Pigato - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLWL
- Mia Ristic
ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Mia Ristic - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Mia Ristic - Lilli Tagger	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Laura Hietaranta - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Karine Sarkisova - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Mariia Masiianskaia - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Lia Karatancheva - Mia Ristic	2:1

Lia Karatancheva - Mia Ristic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide