Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Lia Karatancheva		Xiaodi You

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.54	1.53
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.57)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lia Karatancheva
38.5%

Xiaodi You
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Xiaodi You has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Lia Karatancheva - Xiaodi You Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. You (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Xiaodi You will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 294. You is ranked WTA: 258.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

You might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Martina Capurro Taborda - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Lia Karatancheva - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Lia Karatancheva - Dasha Ivanova	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Lia Karatancheva - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	0:2 ✺
22.01.26	Lia Karatancheva - Ava Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- Xiaodi You
ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Xiaodi You - Ena Koike	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Xiaodi You - Whitney Osuigwe	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Xiaodi You - Shilin Xu	Xu S. retired ✺
29.01.26	Jessica Pieri - Xiaodi You	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLW?W

Lia Karatancheva - Xiaodi You: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide