Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 TUCUMAN (ARGENTINA), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: TUCUMAN (ARGENTINA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Liam Draxl		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.8	1.87
	1.7	2.02
	2.02	1.77
	1.73	2
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.88	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.51)	1.9 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
50.9%

Pedro Sakamoto
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liam Draxl's form might have worsened.

Pedro Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liam Draxl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Liam Draxl - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakamoto: 55.2% – 100%.

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Preview

Draxl is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sakamoto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ITF Tournaments
01.03.24	Liam Draxl - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:1 ✺
29.02.24	Liam Draxl - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Liam Draxl - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.01.24	Facundo Bagnis - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
18.01.24	Liam Draxl - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW
- Pedro Sakamoto
ITF Tournaments
01.03.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Nicolas Zanellato	2:0 ✺
29.02.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Felipe Pagnacco	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Tadeo Meneo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
22.01.24	Felix Gill - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Liam Draxl - Daniil Ostapenkov	✺
- Pedro Sakamoto
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Carlos Eduardo Lino - Pedro Sakamoto	✺

Liam Draxl - Pedro Sakamoto