Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Saarlouis (Germany), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 June 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Saarlouis (Germany) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Liam Gavrielides		Lucas Gerch

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Liam Gavrielides
30.8%

Lucas Gerch
69.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Gavrielides has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Gavrielides than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Recent matches Gavrielides is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gerch is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gerch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gerch is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gerch to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Gavrielides
ITF Tournaments
20.06.24	Liam Gavrielides - Mika Petkovic	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Liam Gavrielides - Zura Tkemaladze	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.24	Maxime Cressy - Liam Gavrielides	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Liam Gavrielides	2:0 ✺
03.06.24	Liam Gavrielides - Tim Handel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW
- Lucas Gerch
ITF Tournaments
20.06.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
19.06.24	Oskar Oliver Stuchlik - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Lucas Gerch - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
13.06.24	Christian Sigsgaard - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Liam Gavrielides - Lucas Gerch