Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Koksijde, clay - Final

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Koksijde 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lilian Marmousez		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

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Lilian Marmousez
54.6%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Marmousez is ranked ATP: 443. Bailly is ranked ATP: 378.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Bailly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Jonas Forejtek - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Lilian Marmousez	Neuchrist M. retired ✺
14.08.25	Elgin Khoeblal - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Wout Vermeer - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Lilian Marmousez - Adrian Oetzbach	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?WWW
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Henri Squire - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Marvin Moeller - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Fadi Bidan - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Emilien Demanet - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Raphael Perot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Kris van Wyk - Lilian Marmousez	✺
29.10.26	Giovanni Ciocca - Lilian Marmousez	✺

Lilian Marmousez - Gilles Arnaud Bailly