Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Budapest, hard - Final

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Lilian Marmousez		Mate Valkusz

	1	2
	1.87	1.80
	1.74	1.97
	1.94	1.88
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.92	1.85
	1.82	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.65)	1.86 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilian Marmousez
50.1%

Mate Valkusz
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilian Marmousez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lilian Marmousez's form might have worsened.

Mate Valkusz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mate Valkusz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mate Valkusz than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Lilian Marmousez - Mate Valkusz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marmousez is ranked ATP: 512. Valkusz is ranked ATP: 758.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Marmousez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marmousez will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lilian Marmousez - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	Lilian Marmousez - Orel Kimhi	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Lilian Marmousez - Michele Mecarelli	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Lilian Marmousez - Ben Weintraub	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Lilian Marmousez - Deney Wassermann	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Lilian Marmousez - Amadatus Admiraal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWLW
- Mate Valkusz
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	Mate Valkusz - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Mate Valkusz - Lorenzo Comino	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Mate Valkusz - Nikita Belozertsev	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Mate Valkusz - Andrea Paolini	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Mate Valkusz - Michael Gloeckler	Gloeckler M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWL?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Lilian Marmousez - Liam Gavrielides	✺

Lilian Marmousez - Mate Valkusz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide