Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Los Angeles, CA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Los Angeles 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lily Taylor		Kaitlyn Carnicella

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Lily Taylor
41.4%

Kaitlyn Carnicella
58.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lily Taylor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Kaitlyn Carnicella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lily Taylor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaitlyn Carnicella than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Taylor is ranked WTA: 1035. Carnicella is ranked WTA: 1258.

In recent matches, Taylor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carnicella is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carnicella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carnicella might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Carnicella will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lily Taylor
ITF Tournaments
11.06.26	Alexis Nguyen - Lily Taylor	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Yilin Chen - Lily Taylor	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Kate Fakih - Lily Taylor	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Lily Taylor - Kailey Evans	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Avery Nguyen - Lily Taylor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW
- Kaitlyn Carnicella
ITF Tournaments
11.06.26	Kaitlyn Carnicella - Rachel Gailis	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Kaitlyn Carnicella - Natalie Kha	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Kaitlyn Carnicella - Mayu Crossley	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Kaitlyn Carnicella - Olivia Center	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Kaitlyn Carnicella - Carolina Bohrer Martins	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

Lily Taylor - Kaitlyn Carnicella