Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Trieste, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday


	Lisa Pigato		Alessandra Mazzola

	1	2
	1.51	2.5
	1.24	3.60	Watch
	1.47	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.55)	2.88 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lisa Pigato
67.2%

Alessandra Mazzola
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Pigato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lisa Pigato's performance.

Alessandra Mazzola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alessandra Mazzola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lisa Pigato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandra Mazzola than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandra Mazzola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lisa Pigato - Alessandra Mazzola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pigato is ranked WTA: 497. Mazzola is ranked WTA: 483.

Pigato is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mazzola has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mazzola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pigato is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pigato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Pigato
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Gabriela Ce - Lisa Pigato	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Ekaterina Perelygina - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Anouk Koevermans - Lisa Pigato	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Lisa Pigato	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Lisa Pigato - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW
- Alessandra Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Susan Bandecchi	Bandecchi S. retired ✺
26.08.25	Angelica Raggi - Alessandra Mazzola	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Mia Ristic - Alessandra Mazzola	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Alessandra Mazzola	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Selena Janicijevic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?WLLW

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