Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Selva Gardena, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday


	Lisa Pigato		Celine Naef

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.25	1.62
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.2)	1.63 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lisa Pigato
43.1%

Celine Naef
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Pigato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Celine Naef has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lisa Pigato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celine Naef than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celine Naef could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lisa Pigato - Celine Naef Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pigato is ranked WTA: 279. Naef is ranked WTA: 264.

Pigato has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naef is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Naef may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Naef will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pigato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Pigato
ITF Tournaments
03.12.25	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
01.12.25	Lisa Pigato - Lisa Zaar	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Lisa Pigato - Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Lisa Pigato - Sara Dols	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW
- Celine Naef
ITF Tournaments
03.12.25	Celine Naef - Silvia Ambrosio	2:1 ✺
02.12.25	Celine Naef - Laura Mair	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Aliona Falei - Celine Naef	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Celine Naef - Lucia Bronzetti	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Celine Naef - Susan Bandecchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL

Lisa Pigato - Celine Naef: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide