Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Romania	Digi Sport 2


	Lisa Pigato		Shelby Rogers

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.75	1.26
	3.6	1.28	Watch
	3.91	1.29
	3.5	1.3
	3.75	1.28	Watch
	3.8	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.71)	1.28 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lisa Pigato
25.8%

Shelby Rogers
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Pigato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lisa Pigato's form might have worsened.

Shelby Rogers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shelby Rogers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lisa Pigato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelby Rogers than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shelby Rogers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Lisa Pigato - Shelby Rogers Predictions

Users Predictions: Shelby Rogers will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pigato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rogers is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Pigato
ITF Tournaments
28.04.24	Lisa Pigato - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Tatiana Pieri - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Aurora Zantedeschi - Lisa Pigato	Zantedeschi A. retired ✺
18.04.24	Francesca Curmi - Lisa Pigato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWW?L
- Shelby Rogers
WTA Madrid
26.04.24	Marketa Vondrousova - Shelby Rogers	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Shuai Zhang - Shelby Rogers	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.24	Shelby Rogers - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Claire Liu - Shelby Rogers	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Shelby Rogers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL

Lisa Pigato - Shelby Rogers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide