Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday


	Lisa Zaar		Lucija Ciric Bagaric

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.5
			Watch
	2.49	1.52
	2.39	1.50	Watch
	2.31	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.67)	1.54 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lisa Zaar
39.3%

Lucija Ciric Bagaric
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Zaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lisa Zaar's form might have worsened.

Lucija Ciric Bagaric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucija Ciric Bagaric's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisa Zaar than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lisa Zaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucija Ciric Bagaric than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucija Ciric Bagaric, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Lisa Zaar - Lucija Ciric Bagaric Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Zaar will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Ciric Bagaric will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ciric Bagaric: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaar (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ciric Bagaric (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zaar is ranked WTA: 403. Ciric Bagaric is ranked WTA: 468.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ciric Bagaric may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Zaar
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Lisa Zaar - Sinja Kraus	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Lisa Zaar	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Aneta Laboutkova - Lisa Zaar	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Lisa Zaar - Caroline Werner	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Verena Meliss - Lisa Zaar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW
- Lucija Ciric Bagaric
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Lina Gjorcheska	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Mia Ristic - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Sofia Rocchetti - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Viola Turini	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Anouk Koevermans - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLL

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