Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Lizette Cabrera		Zongyu Li

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.82	1.89	Watch
	1.88	1.93
	1.79	1.94	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.8	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lizette Cabrera
52.3%

Zongyu Li
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lizette Cabrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Zongyu Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lizette Cabrera than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lizette Cabrera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zongyu Li than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zongyu Li could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lizette Cabrera - Zongyu Li Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cabrera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Li will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cabrera is ranked WTA: 305. Li is ranked WTA: 495.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Cabrera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cabrera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Lizette Cabrera - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lizette Cabrera
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Aoi Ito - Lizette Cabrera	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Lizette Cabrera - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Yexin Ma - Lizette Cabrera	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Sayaka Ishii - Lizette Cabrera	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Lizette Cabrera - Chengyiyi Yuan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Zongyu Li
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Zongyu Li - Wushuang Zheng	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Zongyu Li	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Yiming Dang - Zongyu Li	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Zongyu Li - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Zongyu Li - Ying Zhang	Zhang Y. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWL?

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