Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday


	Lloyd George Harris		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.1	1.74
	2	1.76
	2.07	1.83
	2	1.8
	2.13	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)	1.77 ↓ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd George Harris
46.4%

Egor Gerasimov
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd George Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lloyd George Harris's form might have worsened.

Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Egor Gerasimov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lloyd George Harris than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lloyd George Harris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Egor Gerasimov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Lloyd George Harris - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Users Predictions: Egor Gerasimov will win (120 of 136 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.83% – 93.65%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Harris is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gerasimov is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gerasimov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Harris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd George Harris
ATP Antwerp
23.10.20	Lloyd George Harris - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
22.10.20	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lloyd George Harris	0:2 ✺
20.10.20	Corentin Moutet - Lloyd George Harris	0:2 ✺
19.10.20	Federico Coria - Lloyd George Harris	0:2 ✺
18.10.20	Zane Khan - Lloyd George Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Cologne 2
21.10.20	Egor Gerasimov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
19.10.20	Egor Gerasimov - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	Egor Gerasimov - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
17.10.20	Egor Gerasimov - Oscar Moraing	2:1 ✺
ATP St Petersburg
12.10.20	Evgeny Donskoy - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
27.08.19	Lloyd George Harris - Egor Gerasimov	0:3
ATP Challenger
10.05.18	Lloyd George Harris - Egor Gerasimov	1:2

Lloyd George Harris - Egor Gerasimov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide