Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BEIJING (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Lloyd Harris		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3	Watch
	1.37	3.1
	1.41	3.11
	1.36	3.1
	1.35	3.22	Watch
	1.36	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	3.13 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
69.6%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lloyd Harris - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Etcheverry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Harris is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Beijing
27.09.23	Christian Garin - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Lloyd Harris - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
22.09.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Lloyd Harris - Jiri Vesely	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lloyd Harris	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Zhuhai
24.09.23	Sebastian Korda - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Luke Saville - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:3 ✺
29.08.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Otto Virtanen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

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