Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Lloyd Harris		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
			Watch
	1.25	4.01
			Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.93)	3.71 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
74.7%

Valentin Royer
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lloyd Harris's performance.

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentin Royer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-27.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lloyd Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+27.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentin Royer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Lloyd Harris - Valentin Royer Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lloyd Harris will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 314. Royer is ranked ATP: 124.

In recent matches, Harris has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Royer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Harris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Harris is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.74%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Ugo Blanchet - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Lloyd Harris - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Jay Clarke - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Valentin Royer - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Valentin Royer - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Valentin Royer - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Valentin Royer - Oleg Prihodko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Sebastian Dominko - Valentin Royer	✺

Lloyd Harris - Valentin Royer