Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Palma del Rio, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Palma del Rio 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lorena Solar Donoso		Chelsea Fontenel

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Lorena Solar Donoso
50.4%

Chelsea Fontenel
49.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorena Solar Donoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Chelsea Fontenel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorena Solar Donoso than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea Fontenel than the current prediction. (-3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Solar Donoso is ranked WTA: 796. Fontenel is ranked WTA: 719.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Solar Donoso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorena Solar Donoso
ITF Tournaments
11.06.26	Lorena Solar Donoso - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Noemi Maines - Lorena Solar Donoso	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Carolina Dibenedetto - Lorena Solar Donoso	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Maria Mikhaylova - Lorena Solar Donoso	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Nour El Ouazzani - Lorena Solar Donoso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- Chelsea Fontenel
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Chelsea Fontenel - Meritxell Teixido Garcia	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Laia Petretic - Chelsea Fontenel	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Katherine Sebov - Chelsea Fontenel	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Indianna Spink - Chelsea Fontenel	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Victoria Milovanova - Chelsea Fontenel	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLW?

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea Fontenel
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Chelsea Fontenel - Joy De Zeeuw	✺

Lorena Solar Donoso - Chelsea Fontenel